Reading holders and scoring their records
Who is actually on each side, and how many of them there are.
One wallet holds 51.7% of the Yes side. At that share the price on this side is substantially one participant's opinion, and their exit is the market's liquidity problem rather than only their own.
You are seeing the 5 largest holders on each side, without their records. On Trader every visible holder is listed and each one links through to a full audit of how well they have actually done.
The concentration figures above are complete on every plan: they describe the shape of each side rather than naming anybody.
What each plan includes →Concentration asymmetry 0.655: the gap between how concentrated the two sides are. A market with a whale facing a crowd behaves differently from one where both sides are crowds, and the quoted price says nothing about which you are looking at.
The Yes side is holding the better record. Lower is better, and the gap is 0.031. That is not a prediction, it is a statement about who has been right before, weighted by how much of the side they hold.
Scored from settled positions rebuilt out of public fills, weighted by holding rather than counted per wallet: ten small accounts do not outweigh the one holding the side. A record needs at least eight settled positions to count at all. Scores fill in as markets are viewed, so a market opened for the first time will show fewer than one that has been looked at before.
45 further holders on this side, on Trader.
45 further holders on this side, on Trader.