Krāmma
Polymarket wallets

Performance audit

Am I good, and am I safe, answered for any Polymarket wallet from public data. No account, no API key, nothing to install.

What this measures

Positions are rebuilt from fills rather than read from the current book. That matters: the positions endpoint is a snapshot, and on one wallet it showed 7 holdings against 294 fills across 32 markets. Auditing the snapshot scored two resolutions and called the trader unmeasurable; rebuilding from fills found 27 and a Brier of 0.076.

One caveat is worth stating rather than burying. An entry price is not a stated forecast, buying at 0.57 means the trader thought the true probability was at least 0.57, not exactly 0.57. So this measures whether entry prices were well calibrated, which is a slightly harsher question than whether stated beliefs were. It is also impossible to fake, which a self-reported number is not.

Coverage
Polymarket only. Kalshi is a regulated exchange with a private database, its per-account endpoints require the account holder's own credentials, so there is no equivalent public record to read. Method →