Reading this market
This resolves in 3 days
Little time left means little time for a view to be proved right, and any edge has to survive being locked up until it settles. It also means the price will move on the event itself rather than on anybody changing their mind.
Closes 2026-10-03 · Time to resolution
Every line above is derived from a figure on this page rather than from a view about the outcome. None of it says what will happen, and none of it is advice.
Price history is on the paid plans. Both venues publish where a market traded, and we fetch it — so the line itself is not something only we have. What is ours is the book behind it: the depth at each level, the spread as it stood, what could actually have been filled. No venue publishes that and none of it can be fetched afterwards, so it exists only for the markets we were recording at the time.
How this contract resolves: the criteria as the venue published them, who settles it, and what in the wording would change what a position is worth.
Both venues publish resolution rules and neither shows you what is ambiguous in them. Recorded for every open market on Polymarket and Kalshi.
What each plan includes →Price history is on the paid plans. This is the shortest window, so you can see what it is: Trader reads back 30 days and Desk 90.
Neither venue publishes historic prices, so this exists only because it was recorded while it happened. It cannot be bought or backfilled later.
What each plan includes →